In the last 24 hours, the relative Google search interest in Joe Biden has surged in Pennsylvania and Ohio, far outpacing late interest in President Trump.
Across eleven battleground states, Joe Biden has led President Trump consistently in Google Trends search traffic in the final week before Election Day.
When comparing interest in the two candidates, on average over in the last seven days, Biden has received 115% more interest than Trump in each of these eleven states: Pennsylvania, Ohio, Texas, Iowa, Wisconsin, Florida, Michigan, Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina and Nevada.
As seen below, in the last 24 hours, Biden’s search traffic has surged in Pennsylvania to 153% Trump’s — +34 points compared to his 7-day average in PA — and in Ohio to 127% Trump’s, which is +12 points over the last week in OH. …
Communities around the nation are learning a new rule for the fall semester: when college students return to campus, Covid-19 cases surge.
The case increases in counties where students have returned to campus are highly concerning but not yet driving increased deaths or symptoms based on a review of press reports, public data, and Google Trends symptom searches.
Below in four charts from Covid Act Now, correlations exist between increases in new cases and infection rate and the dates when students return to the campuses of The Ohio State University, Penn State University, Cornell University and Texas A&M University.
Arguments against taking action on climate change were far more likely to get coverage in the New York Times, Wall Street Journal or USA Today based on new research published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
Rachel Wetts, the paper’s author and an assistant professor at Brown University, asked a crucial question:
Whose voices are most likely to receive news coverage in the US debate about climate change?
To find an answer, she performed an analysis of 1,768 press releases and resultant coverage in the nation’s three largest newspapers by circulation, the aforementioned Wall Street Journal, USA Today and New York Times. …
Nationally, Google Search interest in the 2020 Democratic candidates remained mostly similar to last week, while the candidates begin grappling with a changed primary calendar and a growing field of candidates.
Beto: A Diminishing Lead Remains
Over the last 7 days, O’Rourke had substantially more interest than the field — but that interest quickly diminished over the course of the week. This is the same trend other Democrats have experienced in the weeks following their campaign announcements.
Surprising nobody who reads the news, over the last week, former U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke’s campaign announcement drove intense Google search interest.
That said, Beto’s announcement was not the only big shake-up this week in the Top 5 candidates in the Google Primary: two candidates you may not have even hard of joined the top tier this week.
Over the long term, it remains to be seen which candidates are able to grow and sustain interest in their candidacies in the face of Trump’s ongoing spectacle. …
Whether you look at the last 12 months or the last 7 days, Senator Bernie Sanders is drawing more search interest in Iowa than the other top 3 announced Democratic presidential primary contenders.
However, when you zero-in on the last 90 days of data, there is much greater party between Harris, Sanders and Warren in Iowa’s search traffic.
For this article, we are looking only at Google Trends in Iowa with those three candidates plus former Vice-President Joe Biden and former U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke.
Taking a big picture view, Sanders advantage seems to be growing in the freshest data but we also are starting to see interest in Biden and O’Rourke begin to grow. That said, his campaign announcement is the most recent out of this peer group, so this could be more an echo of that — and of course it’s still very early. …
This morning, I pulled the last seven days of data and again used interest in Trump as a baseline, comparing it to interest in Sanders, Harris, Warren, and Booker.
Bernie Broke Through Twice
In his CNN Town Hall (Feb 25) and formal announcement speech (Mar 2), Sanders broke through Trump’s index line, while no other Democrat broke through at all.
The idea is that by using the level of Google search interest in Trump we have a baseline for the amount of attention candidates may need to draw to their message in order to effectively reach and resonate with many Americans. …
Over the last seven days, Senator Bernie Sanders drove more Google search interest than his competitors for the Democratic nomination for President.
Sanders’ competitors in the Top 5 group of announced candidates are Senators Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, and Cory Booker along with Rep. Tulsi Gabbard. This Top 5 group of announced candidates were selected by campaign announcement moment interest.
In addition to the Top 5 analysis here, I’ve also gone through Google Trends on unannounced candidates in the past week, which show growing interest in Joe Biden and Beto O’Rourke’s candidacies.
Top 5: Sanders is clearly ahead (#BernieThanksCNN)
As seen below, Sanders was consistently driving greater interest during the week but much of this week’s interest was driven before, during and after his CNN Town Hall on February 25th. …
Looking at Google Trends from the last month alongside U.S. Census estimates on percentage of white, non-hispanic population shows a correlation between diversity of a state and the relative interest in the two early frontrunners for the Democratic nomination: Senators Kamala Harris and Bernie Sanders.
The chart below shows this correlation and is sorted to show states where interest in Harris is relatively higher at the top with interest in Sanders relatively higher at the bottom. …
This is my third look at Google Trends data from the early part of the 2020 Democratic primary campaign. Check out my profile to see more!
The historic high levels of Google Search interest in President Donald Trump is remarkable — and quite honestly scary.
As seen below, Trump has uniquely captured the attention — both positive and negative — of the American people since his candidacy began and continuing through today.
The scary part is that he’s done so more so than any recent President or Presidential candidate and shows no sign of slowing down. Yale Historian Timothy Snyder, the author of Trump era books On Tyranny and The Road to Unfreedom, might bring up the concept of “spectacle” in looking at this data. …